E.U., in a First, Rejects Italy’s Proposed Budget

Oct 23, 2018 · 49 comments
Chinaski (Helsinki, Finland)
Disappointingly Trumpian/Brexitian/Orbanian comments. Let's face it: out EU/Eurozone club has some rules. They make sense, and we have all signed them. Now Italian government wants to keep its reckless campaign promises, and it is going to blatantly break those rules and risk all of our countries' future. Italy counts on its partners being too timid to let it fail, and it counts on its Eurozonian partners' taxpayers (like me) to foot the bill. A Greece on steroids, in other words. I have sent more money to Greece during the recent years than to my own kids. No more Mr. Nice Guy. Not a Euro from my wallet to the Italians. If and when they fail, it is goodbye and good luck.
steven (from Barrytown, NY, currently overseas)
A few key points: 1. A stupid one first, but it takes 10 seconds on Youtube to find videos of Mr. Junker drunk and falling down in public. This is a man who governed the economy of many nations with an iron fiscal fist. 2. The Italian government is inhumanly racist - or at least its League component is, and no excuse or defense of them on that field can nor should be made. 3. That said, the Euro regulations are a maximum of a 3% of GDP budget deficit, and the EU has called for Italy to hold to under 2%. The difference between 2 and 2.4% is unlikely to mean bankruptcy. Further, ALL economies were further in debt percentage-wise at the end of WWII and GREW out of it, as the Italians are trying to make happen. EU austerity fundamentalism is holding Europe back. 4. The EU since the Lisbon Treaty has become a prison-house of peoples, though many of us once hoped for more. 5. Max Weber defined capitalism as a system where states must compete for "mobile capital" on the terms dictated by the latter. This is the basis of the lack of democracy inherent in capitalism. Bretton Woods did not end this investor-financier tyranny but it did limit it. The whole world by now should stop tolerating, after 5 plus centuries, the unaccountable rule over democratically elected governments, and whole nations, of "the investor community", which is not a fact of nature, but the most powerful institution of a particular historical epoch, and which one day must end.
John H (Fort Collins, CO)
Make no mistake, this is the beginning of the end for the EU. Eventually other EU members will realize that a group of unelected bureaucrats in Brussels with enormous authority and no responsibility and member sates with enormous responsibility and no authority is not a stable situation.
msf (NYC)
I am all for supporting poor and middle class. But that should be financed by cuts for the rich + a hard eye on corruption - not by creating more debt. That debt will have to be paid back - and usually by the poor + middle class like we saw in Greece. But Italian voters cheer on the short term gain. They should request accountability from the 1% (or make that 10%)
[email protected] (Ottawa Canada)
Austerity has been a disaster for working people and a boon to the 1%. It has eviscerated heath services, education and welfare. It has supersized the transfer of what’s left of the common good to the wealthy. And what’s as bad it has stymied economic growth in the real economy. Austerity and misery go to together and though I abhor much of what the Italian government is committed to their attack on austerity is a fight worth supporting.
EQ (Suffolk, NY)
When American presidents complain that NATO countries don't live up to their commitments to fund NATO the allies object to American bullying. When Italy doesn't live up to its EU commitments the union insists that living up to commitments is necessary for economic stability and continental cohesion; Italy objects to EU bullying. Where you stand depends upon where you sit, I suppose. Perhaps NATO and the EU would be the more solid if governments just did what they agreed to do.
Dac (Bangkok)
It is amazing how the EU Bureaucrats no full well the previous Italian “commitment” was made by the previous Italian government voted out of office, so the new government implements its electoral mandate, and the EU says no can do! The EU crude disrespect for democracy is shocking, and follows the pattern of attempting to punish British voters and government for Brexit. Brits and Italians need to stand firm, Europe is not the EU.
Helen (UK)
I'm not selling but if you want to see what a mess has been made of the economy have a look at Adam Tooze's new book on the Financial Crisis. It's called "How a decade of financial crises changed the world".
Alex (Paris France)
There is no way a confrontation can be avoided between Italy and the EU. Italy is stuck in a structural depression. The EU sees no cause for any economic change. A brick wall and an immovable object. Hmmmm..... Investors should look at this like a forest fire......if it spreads beyond Italy then it could become a massive conflagration.
John (Hartford)
The yield on the Italian 10 year bond has more than doubled in the past six months. This ripples through Italian economy as banks raise rates and tighten credit. The total debt (sovereign, household, routine commercial and financial sector) in the Italian economy is probably just North of 6 trillion Euros. The impact of higher interest rates on economic activity is going to far outweigh the benefit of the stimulus from the higher budget deficit.
Mike (New York)
In 1982, I went to Italy and bought a beautiful leather coat made locally. Last year, I couldn't find anything to buy that wasn't a Chinese import or exceedingly expensive. Much of Italy has been turned into a giant Disney Land. Italy was a proud nation which ruled its own future but now it is just a vassal state of the EU. The policies being followed by the current government might not be the best but rejecting open borders, globalization and economic control from Brussels is the right path. Italy needs to balance its budget and trade. They need to run Italy for the Italians. They need to take care of their children.
John (Hartford)
@Mike Er… Italy has the third largest balance of payments surplus in the EU. One of the reasons for this is that many Italian goods sell for a premium.
Mark Thomason (Clawson, MI)
This is about the doctrine of austerity and Austrian economics. It is not just about bad Italy that wants to have an undisciplined budget. There is method to it that many economists and political leaders refuse to acknowledge. Austerity as it is being done in the EU is erroneous, and that error has harmed the whole south of Europe, to the profit of the lenders of Germany and Britain, primarily their big banks. The way out for mutual gain is to grow out of this mess, and that requires the banks to share the pain of what they inflicted by their financial games ten years ago. So far, they've only profited from their own errors and greed, and they want more. So far, Italy and Spain and others have suffered for that profit of the lenders.
Dactta (Bangkok)
EU is increasingly acting like the estranged father who doesn’t understand and seeks to control and punish its disobedient offspring, the unfavoured sons Greece, Italy and the wayward British. The disfunctional EU. Or maybe it’s the Hotel California, you can check in but you can never leave....
Alan Klein (New Jersey)
The EU was doomed to fail from the beginning. The idea you can combine and regulate economies between such disparate nations was nonsense from the beginning. Brexit, Italy, Greece, and what's destructively going on in so many EU countries was a future that had to happen.
Jacopo (Italy )
As an Italian living currently in Italy, it pains me to see those cat-fights and pompous slogans. While it's probably true that we need a stimulus to actually save our ravaged economy, our huge (and sadly increasing) level of corruption is a reality as our lack of efficiency at every level. We can't reform and when we, like M5S, have tried to shake things up, it all goes down to more welfare, more guarantees, more of anything, except what it's needed. I didn't support the left in the past elections, like many others let down by a confused approach to the art of government; it's a pity that what we currently have, not only ignores the basic rules of decency, but shows complete disregard for any critique or assessment. Although in the South some people will rejoice the forthcoming universal income (reddito di cittadinanza), roughly 10.000$ per year, the majority has already realized how we are dangerously playing with fire. As we already know, eventually you burn yourself.
Huh (NYC)
Everyone complaining about Germany should remember the painful restructuring it went through after reunification and then again under the SDP Schroder government. Germany operated under austerity for many years and already reduced its deficits and public debt. Many actually think Germany needs to now increase spending to address infrastructure and social needs. Italy’s problems are the result of enormous levels of corruption, tax evasion, and absurd regulations. It’s basically Greece but with an important industrial sector in northern Italy. Northern Europe has a robust social welfare system, but high taxes, high tax compliance, high education levels, and more liberal labor regulations. Italy wants a robust welfare system but without any of the required sacrifices. Other EU members are not going to let this happen. If they let Italy get away with this, then other EU members will also openly flout the rules. When fundamental EU obligations become optional, the project unravels.
Ale (Italy)
@Huh "Italy wants a robust welfare system but without any of the required sacrifices." Taxes in Italy are 70%!!!!!!!!!!
Stevenz (Auckland)
Five Star and League people are shameless quoting Franklin Roosevelt. They have no clue about how to get themselves out of the mess they are only making worse. Roosevelt had a plan, put competent people in place, and united the country. He didn't pit one group against another, as these bigots do. At the risk of blaming the victims, though, until Italians take governing seriously and push back against entrenched systemic corruption, they will suffer. They need to elect people who are serious about public service, not just who want to sew hatred and make cheep points with their base (that's just so american). At the same time, we can see that "Europe" is a house of cards. Northern Europe uses the euro as a blunt instrument to punish their swarthy neighbours to the south. As an Italian both of these phenomena pain me. But it looks like neither side is really interested in solving problems. There shouldn't even *be* sides.
TB (New York)
Yup, the whole EU thing is unraveling at an accelerating rate. Won't be long now until that abomination is finally relegated to the ash heap of history. Cleaning up the mess it will leave behind is going to be a non-trivial task. If European history is any guide...
Simon van Dijk (Netherlands)
@TB Yup, the whole EU thing is unraveling at an accelerating rate. : I hear Trump speeking. Unsubstanciated nonsense.
Navigator (Brooklyn)
Italy holds all the cards. There is no EU without Italy. Merkel and her underlings in Brussels have to decide whether to hold the hard authoritarian line or preserve the EU. If Italy bolts, the EU is toast. Italy can live without the EU but the EU cannot live without Italy.
RjW (Chicago )
“The only thing that we have to fear is fear itself,” Luigi Di Maio, Italy’s vice premier and the leader of the anti-establishment Five Star Movement told reporters” At least someone out there appreciates the “new deal”.
TJ (Virginia)
Lets be honest: Europe didn't reject Italy's budget, Merkel and Germany rejected Italys budget.
minerva (nyc)
Italy and Greece should merge. Same "values" and discipline.
Civilized Man (Los Angeles, CA)
'Hate to say it but we've been to Italy more times than we can count, and always always always you can SEE the corruption in the disrepair of buildings and streets, and I mean disrepair of notable buildings we've returned to time and again seeing lasting YEARS and getting worse all the while. Ultimately, it is the people who have failed to rise up and destroy not only the criminal underworld but the corrupt bureaucracy bought and paid for by the Cosa Nostra and their web of under-the-table graft. The banks loaning money to the government?-- how can anyone in their right mind not see how many of these loans have been greased by bankers on the take or they'd have to have been insane to make such loans in the first place. The sooner Italy goes under, the sooner desperate people will see they have no choice but to take desperate measures. And as for the ECB supporting this corruption by loaning even MORE money to the Italian government?-- it's not gonna happen. Ciao, Italia. Bye bye. Game over.
Arthur Korn (Mountain View, CA)
By the end of this year US public debt as percentage of GDP will be about same as Italys, and the US public deficit (federal, state and local) will be about 4%, much more than the terrible terrible proposed Italian budget. Just saying.
Jim Greenwood (VT)
The problem with austerity is that it makes the lower and middle classes poorer for the sake of protecting the investment and ruling classes. Heaven forbid investors would ever have to take the fall for their own destructive actions.
Greg (MA)
@Jim Greenwood. Tell that to the investment and ruling classes who took a haircut on Greek bond redemptions.
The Peasant Philosopher (Saskatoon, Sk, Canada)
In September, there was an International conference in Rome, Italy that was dedicated to the idea of Direct Democracy. https://2018globalforum.com/ Italy's Minister for Direct Democracy (The first such position ever in the Western world) addressed the conference on the first day. https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/business/-globfor2018_world-democracy-summi... The populist revolution that has been sweeping the Western world has taken a new and bold turn within the realm of Italian politics. In many ways, this populist revolution is now turning into a Democratic Renaissance. Instead of trying to leave the European Union as the solution to the democratic deficit found in the treaties that form the foundation of the European Union. Many now see the idea of a new treaty guaranteeing a role for direct democracy imbedded within the text, as the ultimate solution to curbing Brussels power. Considering that the Italian city states like Florence were the birthplace of the Renaissance, it is just fitting then that the Italians point the way forward once again.
Timty (New York)
@The Peasant Philosopher seems to be ignoring the rise of xenophobic anti-migrant behavior and racism in a country that has sent migrants all overf the world. This coincides with threats by the populist movement to secede from the eurozone. The leaders are not only quoting FDR (who faced a real economic disaster and overcame it with a brain trust and an informed program), but also Trump (Italy First). All of this sadly echoes the rise of Mussolini, who claimed that fascism was “an organized, centralized, authoritarian democracy.” Authoritarian, yes. Is this what Italian populists really want?
Stevenz (Auckland)
@Timty. Exactly. Anti-immigrant (read: human beings) policy is anything but democratic. It's authoritarian, exclusionary, and oppressive. Immigration certainly raises issues, but strangling democracy hurts everyone. But uninformed, self-absorbed people are easily fooled. Probably millions of Italians (and tens of millions of Americans) would vote for Il Duce if given the chance.
Anonymous (n/a)
I don't have parents who can teach me how to understand Economics and my university professors recommend that I read Yahoo Finance more often but as you can see, my dreams of becoming an economist have been shattered by the hand that molded the statue, I just couldn't pass my exams for Accounting so I don't know what to do, hopefully things will turn around and hopefully soon. Cheers, thanks for reading this comment. Oh, I think Economics was invented in Italy! Editor’s note: This comment has been anonymized in accordance with applicable law(s).
B.K. (Mississippi)
When unelected beaurocrats - all but one of whom is not an Italian citizen - presume to dictate how duly elected officials of the Italian government must act, the time to exit (Brexit) the European Union has come. Any time governing officials are untethered from the democratic process, the seeds of totalitarianism are sown.
Aji (Providence)
The reason Italy finds itself in this mess has little to do with the E.U. - it’s simply the fact that it neglected, for decades, to make the necessary and, sometimes painful structural changes to its economy. This failure to act was driven in large part by the populist governments of the past, all of which democratically elected. Italy traditionally navigated economically challenging time by weakening their currency, but since joining the Euro zone this tool is no longer available to them. And it never was a real solution anyways, just an expensive band-aid, that prevented real healing.
B.K. (Mississippi)
@Aji I don't doubt that elected Italian officials have made poor economic decisions. Those missteps should not mean that far-away unelected non-Italian government officials should act in their place. If elected Italian officials make unwise economic decisions that hurt Italians, then Italians can, if they choose, vote them out of office. That power does not exist with respect to the European Commission.
bored critic (usa)
don't let this article gloss over the truth. Italy is a mess. their debt is insurmountable. and their plan to cut taxes and increase welfare spending is not a workable plan. add the current populist movement against immigration and migrants and it becomes a recipe for disaster. and the rest of Europe is not much better. Germany and Angela merkel are in trouble, ireland is looking at hard borders and a return to "the troubles" between northern Ireland and the republic as a result of the UK not being able to resolve the border issue for Brexit. catalonia wants to secede from spain. both Spain and portugal economies are a shambles. the list goes on and on...
wb (houston)
@bored critic The argument that Italy is just doing a version of the "new deal" is specious. Roosevelt and later Obama acted to stimulate spending during a deep recession when cash was unavailable. There is no recession in Italy...just a misalignment in how they already spend money. Printing more euros will just drive up inflation offsetting any wage gain that it may produce.
Rachel Kreier (Port Jefferson, NY)
@wb The Italian unemployment rate is over 10% -- much higher for young people.
Tom (Canada )
The EU deep state needs to step back and evaluate the political landscape. This may not be the wisest stance. Britain, the EU's financial centre and 1 of only 2 functional militaries is going out the door France has a dead-man-walking Pro-EU president Germany has a dead-women-walking Chancellor Sweden has an anti-EU party holding the balance of power Hungry, Poland, Austria have anti-EU governments What benefit will the Italian gov't get from following these dictates?
Simon van Dijk (Netherlands)
@Tom A lot of statements you make are not supported by facts. 1) There is no EU deep state. The EU is properly governed by elected officials (elected by the the member states) and by a direct elected parlement. 2) The EU's financial centre is Frankfurt and the euro the currency.. 3) Macron and Merkel are still heads of state of two powerful countries, and will be so for the next few years. 4) Some countries are opposed to some rules from Brussels, but never want to leave the EU. Only England thinks of leaving the EU and in the comming years the will deeply rergret that. Certainly when Scotland will be joining the EU separately. Greece had to be rescued with 600 billion euro's payed by other countries. Italy cannot be saved, that would at least cost 6 trillion. Italy has to save itself. And by the way a deficit of 2,4% isn't really very problematic. Some agreement will be found.
george (coastline)
There's a whole generation of young Italians languishing in under employment or, even worse, unemployment. They're still living with their parents, trying to start their own businesses, or they're working in a cycle of apprenticeships, then learning new technical skills, to only be rewarded with another, temporary, dead end job. They're not marrying, and not buying their own homes, but instead are doomed to spend their free weekend evenings congregating in the nearby piazza, staring at their phones while drinking one euro liter bottles of beer and smoking their own handrolled cigarettes. All this while they ignore scores of young African males trying to sell them lighters, battery powered cute little animal toys, and other trinkets. This is what has become of southern Europe under the Euro and 'austerity'. But the Germans, Dutch, and other 'hardworking' northerners are doing fine, thank you, and have absolutely no intention of doing anything different at all. This 'tale of two economies' does not portend well at all for the future of Europe as we know it today.
Martin Julius (Frankfurt on the Main (Germany))
Have you been in Italy before? I have a very different view about Italy and think that Italy and the periphery around the large hubs / cities definitely benefited from EU money.
happyXpat (Stockholm, Sweden / Casteldaccia, Sicily )
Spot on! I just spent 8 months living in Sicily and what you have described is the truth. Fortunately, I am a Swedish citizen and have recently moved back to Stockholm. But I miss the one euro beers and the many varieties of rolling tobacco.
GC (Brooklyn)
@george I agree wholeheartedly with your characterization, but also wonder: How is this situation really any different than it has been in the past? Italy has sent nearly 30 million economic migrants into the world looking for work since 1870, so unemployed youth is a 100+ year old problem for Italy... even during the economic boom, massive migration happened internally, south to north, rural to urban.... How is the situation different now and more importantly, how is the Euro and EU to blame for this? And, what do the populists offer as a viable alternative? It seems to me that the economic and social problems that create them (and also result from them--kind of a chicken and egg thing) are so deeply ingrained, so systemic to the culture that all of the typical observations voiced here are purely superficial and make no attempt to get at the root causes.
Walter (Ferndale, WA)
The EU negotiators have rightly surmised that the UK's current trend of aping the US (fracking, a corporate decision making process, taking hard positions, trying to bluster its way through) is playing into their hands. The decision to slap Italy in the face was really a warning to the UK. This is not going unnoticed in Europe.
J111111 (Toronto)
Italy should have reelected Berlusconi, the closest thing to Trump they have, he ran up its debt in the first place, and he still knows how to bunga bunga.
Expat in Italy (Italy)
@J111111 I never thought I'd say this, but I do wish they'd bring him back. He had a more coherent plan for Italy than this bonkers coalition of far right and far left.
Reuben Ryder (New York)
Isn't this what they needed to do a long time ago? The budgets of any country were not to exceed a certain limit. There is no real monetary ability for Europe to control its overall financial picture than by implementing responsible fiscal planning. Why is this even news? Except for the fact that it has played fast and lose with its own rules for a very long period of time, but now is the time to reign it al in, finally. Britain, never really in, is on the way out, and to whom is each the greater trading partner? If the EU can forget them, it will be to the demise of Britain. Britain, on the other hand, cannot forget the EU. It is dependent on them in reality, and this is why it is all such a hard go for Brexit. It's not just the border with Northern Ireland. It is the border with all of Europe that is at stake and the EU has nothing to gain by collapsing in the face of this withdrawal by capitulating to the Brits.