To Our Readers: Predict the Nominees

Oct 29, 2015 · 48 comments
Jinx (<br/>)
Dems: Clinton/Sanders or Castro

Rebs: Bozo the clown and his side kick, there are plenty to choose from. If
you insist I select
Joe McCarthy/Newt
drollere (sebastopol)
don't we have the online betting markets to answer this kind of question at this early stage of the campaign? and without the needless explaining?
michael (sarasota)
Hillary Clinton, President; retired General Wesley Clark, Vice-President.
GOP: totally irrelevant in 2016...
Chief Six Floors Walking Up (Hell's Kitchen)
Much as I love Bernie, I'm afraid Hillary has it sewn up for the Dems. And after her grilling at stake the other day, she's certainly got the polish, the guts, and the balls to do it. Can't even guess who her VP would be but he'd better understand who's wearing the pants.

For the GOP, it will be the Koch Bros., take your choice who will be Pres or VP.

But, since they will run behind the scenes, their roles will be portrayed by Rubio and, most likely, Kasich. A month ago, I would have said Rubio and Walker. But Kasich could deliver Ohio, which is crucial.
A Goldstein (Portland)
GOP nominee predictions are total WAGs. Nevertheless, here goes:
GOP: Mitt Romney/Marco Rubio - Romney will fill the upcoming entropic chaos when the GOP embraces trying to win the election, clearing out the buffoons which is everybody except Kasich who is too Dem-like. Rubio is too not-like-the-base but good for Latino votes.
DEM: Hillary Clinton/Julian Castro - Clinton is a no-brainer and adding fresh and dynamic Castro neutralizes Rubio and more.
Petaltown (<br/>)
Veep picks are hard to predict. It will be someone who can be counted on to bring in a state or bloc with a lot of electoral votes, and someone who can help wrangle congress. Tom Vilsack maybe on the Hillary ticket? He has Penn. & Iowa ties, with depth of experience in gov. On the GOP side, Pataki and Jindal! Why not? They're no more preposterous than any of the other Repub candidates.
thx1138 (usa)
sadly, hillary for th dems

does it matter who th repub is ?
thx1138 (usa)
at this point, nothing can save th american republic
th most that can be hoped for is a slowing of th rot
C.L.S. (MA)
Clinton and O'Malley. vs. Bush and Kasich. No Rubio this time, or Julian Castro.
Frizbane Manley (Winchester, VA)
Really Seriously Though ...

Democrats = Hillary Clinton and Julián Castro

Republicans = A and B

The Republican debates are quite wonderful high camp, but they are almost irrelevant vis-à-vis the GOP's choice of a ticket. Sometime this spring or summer -- but just before the Republican National Convention in mid-July -- Charles and David Koch will tell us who A and B are ... and don't put your money on any Donald Trump or Ben Carson look-alikes.

Omigod, where are Jon Stewart and the old Stephen Colbert when we need them?
Glen (New York City)
Funny, so many people cite Marco Rubio after just one very successful performance; last week the same folks would likely have tagged Jeb Bush as the nominee. Too bad for the Republicans that after all these debates the powers that be won't be able to pull off a brokered convention because all of the current candidates are light weights (to be charitable).

I think it's too far out to tag the GOP nominee but on the Democratic side it's a clear sail for Hillary Clinton, and I concur with the Julian Castro VP selection. I predict Hillary will take the oath on 1/20/17.
Jeffrey (California)
Rubio isn't considered just after that debate. Look at the Jon Stewart interview with him on the Daily Show in 2014 (not 2015). He is a force to reckon with, speaking quickly, cheerfully, and confidently, even when he has all the facts (or morality) wrong.
lefty442 (Ruthertford)
Democrats: Mrs. Clinton and Bernie Sanders.

Republicans: Harold Stassen and Robert Taft.
Ronald W Gumbs (<br/>)
I predict that Senator Rubio will win the GOP nomination because he is an effective debater and is Hispanic. With a female running mate, he should compete favorably against Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, who is my pick for the Democratic nomination.
David Richards (Washington, DC)
Clinton/Castro versus Rubio/Martinez.

Presidential nominees seem all but certain. VP is wildly speculative. Clinton chooses Castro from a limited bench. Instead of balance, look for Rubio to double down (a la Clinton-Gore '92) by choosing the governor of New Mexico for an all-Latino (and half-female) ticket.
HWMNBN (Mountain View)
Gov. Martinez has not demonstrated that she is ready for prime time on the national stage. She poses a serious risk of Walker syndrome (popular governor who looks good on paper but ends up having difficulty articulating positions), with a dash of Palin thrown in. The baggage with Jay McClesky and the Dianna Duran scandals will not help.

Carly Fiorina, who has acquitted herself well in the GOP debates, is a much stronger choice.
Brendan (New Jersey)
The Republicans will eventually realize that Donald Trump and Ben Carson are not serious candidates and will nominate Marco Rubio.

Rubio will face the presumptive Democratic candidate, Hillary Clinton. And he will lose.
Montreal Moe (WestPark, Quebec)
I am proud to announce my predictions for the nominees for President odf the United States. In honour of the 150th anniversary of the publication of Alice's Adventures in Wonderland the GOP will nominate the esteemed Junior Senator from Texas the Mad Hatter. The Democratic are delighted to put forward as their nominee the former Secretary of State and former first Lady The Queen of Hearts.
Ted (Brooklyn)
Wake me when each party has chosen their nominees. I don't think I can stand another year of this incessant coverage.
Paul (Bellerose Terrace)
After a lot of complaining from readers that the Times political coverage is limited to mindless horse racing handicapping, the Times just admits it's so and lets it all hang out. Election day is a year and a week away. Has the Times nothing better to do than predict the horserace, and solicit predictions from the peanut gallery. Pitiful.
RuralGeorgiaLiberal (Louisville, Georgia)
Agree wholeheartedly (except the part about horses racing handicapping being mindless)!
Meredith (NYC)
The Times thinks it must compete with TV news infotainment 24/ 7 cable and with the web talk. Have you notices that Times columns on the campaign are all pretty superficial? Predictions, personalities, powerplays are fun and lets the media avoid issue talk, pro/con and the effects on our lives. That's how they avoid challenging the powerful too much, and stay influential. Thus low info voters, voting against their interests.
RJS (Southwest)
Mark my words:
Clinton/Julian Castro
Rubio/John Kasich

Hillary becuase dems like her they really, really like her. Castro is VP pick because he balances the ticket. He is young, male, good looking and hispanic. And see republican nominee below.

Rubio because he is young, good looking and hispanic. Now that Bush is done, Rubio is the most electable in a general election. Kasich becuase he is the republican Joe Biden and: Ohio.
Sara (NYC)
Your analysis is solid. I would only add the following: Hillary must attract the millions of young liberals, energized by Bernie's campaign, who thus far have shown little affection for her. (I am too often reminded of the 2000 election.) Obama won the presidency twice in part because of the youth vote. Hillary cannot ignore them. But I am not sure Castro can get them to the polls.
Grace H (Stanford, CA)
Rubio/Kasich: too much weight at the bottom of the ticket?
Patrick (Midwest)
My prediction exactly. Both parties understand the increasing importance of the Hispanic vote. When the Trump/Carson dust settles, Rubio is all but inevitable.
Nan Socolow (West Palm Beach, FL)
It's too early to make predictions about the Democratic and Republican tickets for the Presidential election 12 months from next week. Tasty pie in the sky, but changes gang aft agley in the American world of political dreams.
DA (USA)
President. Hilary Clinton.
V.P.. Julian Castro. Hispanic vote to counter Rubio. Impressive young man.

President. Marco Rubio
V.P.. ? Kasich to get Ohio? Strong economic nominee from Wall Street or a tech titan.
SueIseman (Westport,CT)
Look back at the same period for prior presidential elections (one year from election day, basically) You will see that all of this tireless polling is apparently
off the mark in many cases.
Kevin (Albuquerque, NM)
It's a little weird to see online comments to a request for letters to the editor.
Atlant (New Hampshire)
The Republicans find a way to side-track Trump and Carson and nominate Rubio.

The Democratic big Whigs, er, wigs continue back-stabbing their best candidate, Bernie Sanders, and crown their designated queen.

Disgusted liberal Democrats stay home in droves and Rubio wins the General Election with broad Latino support.
Mary Ann Donahue (NYS)
If the prospect of Rubio as President doesn't motivate Dems, who are disappointed that Bernie is not the nominee, this nation is in serious trouble. Well, it is already in trouble, but Rubio as President is a frightful thought for me.
Sara (NYC)
Latino-Americans are primarily Mexicans who, along with Puerto Ricans and other non-Cubans, tend to vote Democratic. The decades-long immigration privilege granted to Cuban but not other Latino migrants has created resentment against them within the larger Latino-American population. Thus, I would not be quick to give the large Latino-American vote to Rubio, a Cuban-American.
lefty442 (Ruthertford)
Now THAT is a truly terrifying scenario!
Jenifer Wolf (New York)
Hillary will win the Democratic nomination because the media is making her sound like the only viable alternative & the Republicans uniformly loathe her which makes her more appealing to her base. The Republicans will chose an extremist who hasn't got a possibility of winning the general. If they had any sense, they's choose Kasic, but they don't have any sense.
A. Stanton (Dallas, TX)
Rachel Maddow for the Democrats because that's who they really
want.

Michael Bloomberg for the Republicans because they can't be stupid enough to nominate anybody else.
N.G. Krishnan (Bangalore, India)
We non Americans have equal stakes in the US Presidential election. After all America is the sole super power and it is true that whenever US sneezes the world catches cold.

We believe no matter who wins election it is total capitalism is America's true ruler, and it has the power to make or destroy.

Democrats or Republicans are but two faces of a political system that no longer has much to do with democracy. Democracy is about choice, but Americans don't really have much of a choice.

US has become an oligarchy “A government in which a small group exercises control especially for corrupt and selfish purposes.”

Former President Jimmy Carter, a great statesman President, said when asked of his thoughts on the state of American politics since five right-wing justices on the U.S. Supreme Court opened the doors to “unlimited money” in our political discourse via Citizens United, Carter was blunt and to the point. “It violates the essence of what made America a great country in its political system. Now it’s just an oligarchy, with unlimited political bribery being the essence of getting the nominations for president or to elect the president. And the same thing applies to governors and U.S. senators and congress members.

“So now we’ve just seen a complete subversion of our political system as a payoff to major contributors, who want and expect and sometimes get favors for themselves after the election’s over.” https://twitter.com/Thom_Hartmann?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
Josh (South Florida)
Democratic Nominee: Hillary Clinton

Republican Nominee: Marco Rubio

I seriously don't think it matters based on the current crop of candidates the Republicans have who they put up. The chances of any of them winning in November, 2016 are as good as a blizzard of snow hitting Miami. They may win the nomination of their party, but none of them are strong enough, articulate enough or sane enough to win the general election. They want to dismantle government while running it or maybe just eliminate it all together except defense of course. Get rid of all entitlements like social security and medicare. There's only one problem with that idea, the average age of their base is 55 plus. So they are either nearing retirement or there already. Their base might not understand those checks come from the government, but they will never vote for a candidate who says their going away. lol. And their other main idea is just cut taxes on the super rich and everyone else will feel the wealth effect or better knows as "the trickle down theory". If you haven't figured out what's really trickling down. Hint: It's not money.
Leigh (Qc)
Hillary and Joe versus Romney (why not?) and Rubio.
CuriousG (NYC)
Rubio never gave a straight answer to anything. he should be fired or resign.

The Media is the problem. Really?
Government is the problem? Really?
Obama is the problem? Really?

The GOP is the problem. No, really, they really are the problem!
Lorem Ipsum (DFW, TX)
But you just called them a GRAND OLD PARTY. They can't be the problem!
Barbara (Los Angeles)
Many journalists have stopped telling us who, what, where, when and how and instead trying to predict the future. I miss old fashioned reporting on the present. I just hope the nominees will be sane, i.e. in touch with reality.
stevensu (portland or)
Plus, they try to manipulate the future by adding loaded interpretations to the facts. NYT reporter Patrick Healy's coverage of Sanders drips with venomous characterizations and personal opinion of Bernie's statements,.g.,"harshly nasty" in a race t article.
stevensu (portland or)
The typo"race t" should read. "recent". Thanks, spell-checker.
k pichon (florida)
With the current multi-existence of predictions, it is quite obvious that the title should be changed to something else, such as "guesses". Which are the true nature of what we are being exposed to.......(sigh)...........
Mike (Annapolis, MD)
Democratic - Hillary/Biden - Same 5% change that doesn't upset any corporate donors
Republican - Carson/Rubio - Crazy is as crazy does
Ted (Brooklyn)
Does it really matter who the nominees are? Whoever makes it that far will have sold their soul to money and special interests. I will hold my nose and vote Democratic in the hope that they nominate better Supreme Court justices.
D. H. (Philadelpihia, PA)
ELECTORAL PREDICTION

Democratic Nominee Hillary Clinton

Republican Nominee Donald Trump