Benjamin Hoffman....good job!
Jimmy is wrong about all of the wins he picked!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Is sportswriter Jimmy Kempski's head going to explode if the Pats win again? Likely. He's quite envious.
Pats will move too 9-0
2
Benjamin Hoffman embarrasses himself again thinking a second year quarterback can outsmart Bill Belichick.
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Big fan of NFL for years here in fa away Melbourne Australia. Really enjoy NYT coverage and this weekly column especially. I don’t bet much but enjoy succinct comments on each game.
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Jimmy G: His starting record is great.
It's just too bad all his wins are against terrible teams.
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Many of us have long learned that you don't get rich by consistently voting against Bill Belichick and the Patriots.
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Besides the question about Mahomes playing for KC, there is still a question whether Thielen will play for Minnesota. Not that they have the same exact impact, but Thielen is an integral part of the MN offense and has shown himself to be an elite receiver. That said, I have been watching the Vikes for 58 years (their entire realm) and just expect to be disappointed.
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The Pats defense is very good. But to say that it is historic is exaggerating... they've been playing mostly weak opponents. But it is their offense that will win the game. Brady to Edelman is so reliable, that no defense has been able to shut it down. And when they try, too many others get open.
I predict Pats by +5.
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As a sixty year Viking fan and four time super bowl loser, I respectfully submitted that you should never ever pick the Vikings to win anything.
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If one had followed the recommended bets religiously after betting commissions are deducted you would have broken even. So much for expertise. Better to get a day job. I am assuming betting all games for the season to date.
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@Milton Lewis Please show your math. Assuming 110-100 odds, one needs a 52.4% win rate to break even. At 66-54-1, he has a 55% win rate. He's profitable so far this season.
And your suggesting that he acquire day job? He does. Clearly.
But one thing I will agree with you on: that for 99.999% of all humanity, better to make a living at a traditional job than to expect to make a living sports betting!
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@Milton Lewis
The way I understand it:
Every win is + 100
Every loss is - 110
That means you need to be correct 52.38% of the time 52.38/47.62 = 1.10
to break even.
So far Mr. Hoffman is plus 6600 minus 5940 = +660
assuming a bet of $100 per game.
The difference between 52.38 and 47.62 is the bookie's "vigorish."
"Luck be a lady" on gameday.
1
The Pat's defense is historic. I have a feeling that the sheer ineptitude of opposing offenses has something to do with it .
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this should be a great game but I'll see only the first half because, like many people, I have a job I need to go to on Monday morning. I wonder if advertisers realize the loss in eyeballs by scheduling a game between two east coast teams at 8:30pm. why?
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@Paul I am an early riser so taping the game and watching it the next morning, while fast forwarding, takes 45 minutes. I do have a 30 second interval ff, which works beautifully most of the time.
2