Alaska Relies on Ice. What Happens When It Can’t Be Trusted?

Apr 10, 2019 · 51 comments
foodalchemist (2farfromdabeach)
“I don’t know anyone in Alaska who questions whether things have changed,” said Brian Brettschneider, a climatologist at the University of Alaska Fairbanks. “Everyone sees it. Everyone feels it.” They may see it and feel it, yet they keep voting Republican. Remember this is the state that elected Sarah Palin as their governor. Once upon a time, she was the model for undereducated and ignorant politicians, BT. (Before Trump) Well as Jerry Garcia sang in a Grateful Dead cover tune written by Tim Rose and Bonnie Dobson, "I guess it doesn't really matter anyway." Climate change is here, especially in Alaska. Nothing will come in the near-future to escape that reality. Elections have consequences. Oh keep on flying your high school teams in small planes when the ice isn't sufficient for overland travel, that'll really help things. And I doubt Charles Wright and his family eat beaver.
Paulie (Earth Unfortunately The USA Portion)
I’ve been watching the construction of a spec house on my street here on the edge of The Cypress National reserve in SW Florida. The foundation is even with the street level (7 feet MSL) and the house is surrounded by Cypress trees, a sure sign of a low lying, wet area. Rainy season is just about to start. I’m wondering how this house will sell while it is under water. After Irma this street had at least 5 inches of water on it for at least a week. The short sightedness is absolutely astounding.
b fagan (chicago)
Pardon if this appears twice - I posted it a bit after 8pm EDT last night and don't know where it went. Sarah Palin, before she became a Fox mouthpiece and paid climate denier, when she was Alaska's governor, had set up a committee to study and plan for coping with the impacts of climate change on the state. The executive order is here - it's worth reading and wondering how the good she was trying to accomplish then was destroyed by her later paid job on behalf of the conservative, anti-regulation donors. https://gov.alaska.gov/admin-orders/administrative-order-no-238/ The committee published a bunch of results, available here: https://web.archive.org/web/20170501065749/http://www.climatechange.alaska.gov:80/aag/aag.htm
Rob Wood (New Mexico)
This must be the headlines from when the land bridge between Russia and Alaska was disappearing. Boy, I bet some were really bummed out.
David (Fairbanks, Ak)
A Gwichin elder told me not to complain about cold weather because " this cold is necessary for our way of life". The Elders are always telling me how the country is getting bushier and drying up, and I have seen the lakes that suddenly drain completely dry because the permafrost below has melted. The winters are far warmer. The snow has changed. I fear for the vast Tanana and Yukon Flats that only remain wet in summer because the permafrost forms a solid layer below. We see it and many deny we have any control or role, but it is real.
Janice Badger Nelson (Park City, UT from Boston)
The melting in Alaska has been written about for over a decade now. Global climate change was not taken seriously then and it is not taken seriously now. All there is, is talk. No real action. New candidates on the Dem side talk a lot about it, i.e. green deal, but that died a dreary death. Enough of the rhetoric, we need real action. In the meantime, we use way too much plastic. I went to Whole Foods yesterday and came home and was in despair at how much plastic they use. We still drive too much. We are still very wasteful. And government is controlled by greedy corporations. And always has been. Sad.
Bill (St. Louis)
I hate to be harsh but a lot of us have watched with alarm at 2 decades of conclusive science. So now that the ice and permafrost are melting causing Alaska's transportation network to collapse, you now have only one option: get out while you can. And choose wisely when you leave. A lot of locations will also face unsolvable climate disasters since this country has no intention of addressing the root of the problem.
The Real Mr. Magoo (Virginia)
@Bill, there will ultimately be nowhere to go. The biggest threat from climate change to humans will not be the rising seas or the melting ice - while those are disastrous, they are in the long run manageable, albeit perhaps at a cost humanity cannot easily afford. No, the real problem - and why there will be nowhere to go - will be the disruption to our food and water supplies across the globe because of random weather fluctuations and changing climates. E.g., desertification of currently productive areas, acidification of oceans, high daytime heats that make being outdoors dangerous for working the fields, more frequent weather events like the recent midwest floods and untimely freezes that kill crops, and the disappearing glaciers which supply potable water to much of humanity. And don't forget we're losing the animals we eat and our natural pollinators at unsustainable rates. All that is happening while human populations are still growing exponentially, especially in the poorer areas of the world. Ultimately, when there is enough disruption to the food supply, there will be massive migration and, probably, ruinous wars. That is why we should pay attention to those reminding everyone that climate change is an existential threat: because it really is.
Andre Jursic (Tampa, FL)
I am a proud US-Citizen, happy in Florida. I would love the whole Alaska would turn to be our Florida-North. Whales and Seals would be happy, Polar Bears would mate with Grizzlies and produce tan-colored-babies, a few residents, MAINLY Eskimos would start growing chicken-farms and learn to enjoy chick-burgers, tourism would improve and be year-round.. and finally, Alyeska Pipeline would carry more oil & gas. Win-win situation.
Barnaby Wild (Sedona, AZ)
@Andre Jursic Except by then, Florida will be under water.
CP (NJ)
@Andre Jursic, Republican humor, I assume....
rixax (Toronto)
Life, humans, economies and countries evolve slowly. Obama put relations in place and bailed out auto industries (they paid back every dime) to reverse trickle down economics policies favouring the rich that brought an economic downturn. Trump has enjoyed that recovery and takes credit for it even while reversing the policies. So Alaskans should start thinking about the alternatives to the way their lives have been governed by solid footings of ice. then it won't be a shock when the slow (glacial) momentum of geographic change hits. Same with the voters. Don't be surprised. Look ahead. Don't blame the next President for the slow movement toward hard tims that Trump has kicked off. One possibility would ben for Alask to build a new city, a new metropolis. Bring in a few million hard working people and get some bridges, suburbs, apartments and retail built up. I know where there are a lot of people just waiting around looking for work and an opportunity to start a new life.
John Christoff (North Carolina)
Alaska is a Red Republican state. The Republican party denies that climate change is taking place. Yet the climate change in Alaska is quite evident. Is this some kind of Karma?
Richard (Palm City)
Darwin lives. Survival of the fittest. Those who adjust will live and those who drink and drive on bad ice will not. What is complicated about that.
rationality (new jersey)
Interesting that all the activities noted are those that are very good to be without, eg killing whales, snowmobiling, mining. But how about mentioning the tital destruction of polar bear habitat? That matters
Ralph Averill (New Preston, Ct)
It is surprising that this story made no mention of melting permafrost, the "bedrock" layer of permanently frozen earth upon which many far north building foundations are built. As the permafrost melts, many buildings will sag, tilt, sink, or collapse altogether. More alarming, permafrost impounds a vast amount of methane, a significant greenhouse gas. As permafrost melts, methane gas is released, and another positive feedback loop similar to the feedback loop of heat absorbing open water and reflective ice and snow is established. All of this points to a rapidly changing northern climate. Humans will have the easiest time adapting. Many flora and fauna will fail to make a change.
Lisa McFadden (Maryland)
Keep driving those SUVs, flying those planes, and most of all purchasing whatever China as to offer in consumer goods. I am not saying that this problem can be solved exclusively through consumers altering their behaviour. Policies have to be passed. But it could make a dent. I know tons of people complaining about our habit of burning fossil fuels (they call it climate change, I call it what it is), and still flying around like there is no tomorrow. I haven't been on a plane in 18 years. I live in a small house. I drive a hybrid, and I don't buy stuff I don't need. The world is going to go down in flames. But at least, my personal contribution to catastrophe was minuscule, and I did part as both a consumer and an activist.
Janice Badger Nelson (Park City, UT from Boston)
@Lisa McFadden Well said. People talk the talk, but rarely walk the walk.
CP (NJ)
@Lisa McFadden: choices. Do I drive my hybrid car for five days to help my elderly in-laws 2400 miles away, or do I fly? And what workable alternatives will be offered for what we give up? Where are the reliable long-distance trains? Last question: we are visiting in Arizona; why does a state with 300 days of sunshine per year have less than 5% usage of solar energy????
Teri (Anchorage)
Well done, Julia O'Malley. Thank you --
Kent Morlan (Tulsa)
I remember sitting on a cliff on the Bering Straits in 1963 watch the sea ice move north and watching native hunters going out of the ice to hunt. It was dangerous them and, because of global warming,if apparently more dangerous now.
Randall (Portland, OR)
And yet 51% of Alaska voted for a man who wants to actively make the state and the environment worse off. I'm sorry, but I can't find a lot of sympathy for people who keep hurting themselves and asking for responsible people to clean up their messes for them.
Dave (Mass)
@Randall....In 2016 the whole country...with the help of the Electoral College..voted for Trump to actively make the Country Worse Off! MAGA? Not when we're bringing back coal and gas pipelines etc! Windmills don't cause Cancer...but Trump's Presidency is definitly making the USA sick!
JB (NJ)
I took a three week tour of Alaska in June and July 2016 and the state was experiencing record highs. There was talk of the power company capacity being stretched because of the A/C demands. I did not meet anyone who denied climate change.
SolarCat (Up Here)
The retreat of the glacier feeding Portage Lake is worth a story in itself.
ZOPK55 (Sunnyvale)
Disaster and and eminent death won't stop the deniers. They should be viewed as the enemy of life that they are.
Devin Greco (Philadelphia)
I believe in Climate Change, it's undeniable for any rational human. Yet, if you got to a blog where conservatives are found, deniers rule and are rarely outspoken. Philly Voice dot com in my home city is one of them. Every article, there are a horde of idiots questioning conventional wisdom and challenging the obvious that our climate is changing rapidly and way sooner than most predicted. How do you reason with unreasonable people that are irrational and refuse to budge from their talking points? Because you need enough of them around the world to change the way governments operate, and most specifically here in the United States especially. Information is not lacking, we don't need MORE climate change news. What we need is a collective strategy to trigger an effective political movement that effectively curbs polluters and reforms our infrastructure and economies around it.
John Brews. ❎❎❎ (Tucson, Az)
“I don’t know anyone in Alaska who questions whether things have changed,” Of course, what is causing the change is up for grabs. Is it man. Or, is it just another vagary of the Earth wobbling about its axis? Republicans know, eh?
Terry (California)
You get what you vote for.
Lisa McFadden (Maryland)
@Terry Totally agree. Under Obama, the cap-and trade legislation called ACES for short went down. Why even cap-and-trade?? In the 70s, the governments told polluters to stop polluting or else. But now, unless we have a market-based program, nothing happens. And even if we have a market-based approach, it doesn't get passed. The targets in the Paris Agreement are insufficient. The Clean Power Plan came too way late and was yet another instance of governing by executive order because the neoliberal, centrist Obama failed to build his party and capture the imagination of the people who were still being taken advantage of by corporations under his administration despite his one signature reform, the ACA. Let that all sink in when considering the present candidates. Perhaps we have had enough of incremental approaches when we have 12 years to turn the Titanic around. Perhaps we want someone who by-passes gridlock in Congress and appeals to the people directly to get laws passed.
Peter (Hong Kong)
Why didn't Obama do something when he was in office for EIGHT years?
Socrates (Downtown Verona. NJ)
@Peter, Obama did do something. The Clean Power Plan was an Obama administration policy aimed at combating anthropogenic climate change (global warming) that was first proposed by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in June 2014. The Clean Power Plan set the first-ever limits on carbon pollution from U.S. power plants, the largest source of the pollution in the country that’s driving dangerous climate change. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clean_Power_Plan https://www.nrdc.org/stories/how-clean-power-plan-works-and-why-it-matters Meanwhile, Trump and his band of climate denialists are busy shredding it. Are there no real sources of news in your bubble ?
The Real Mr. Magoo (Virginia)
The first two years, Obama was a bit busy with getting the country out of Bush's recession and trying to provide millions of Americans with health care coverage. Then he spent six years fighting GOP obstructionists in charge of Congress. And the next president will probably spend 8 years trying to clean up Trump's messes.
SolarCat (Up Here)
@Peter Because he was stonewalled for NINE years.
cf (ma)
About 30 years ago some friends of mine relocated from their hometowns in SE AK for northern Maine. Part of the reason being was that there was no longer hardly any snow to recreate upon and how quickly this changed up their lifestyle. The snow and ice are essential for AK living. This is not a recent phenomena. It's been diminishing at a rapid annual rate through out the entire state/region. Then soon there will massive amounts of methane percolating and releasing into the atmosphere from the thawing tundra. We ain't seen nothing yet.
Chuck Burton (Mazatlan, Mexico)
You hardly need to go to Alaska to see the obvious. I have been visiting this beach for forty-four years. The area has always been thick with sea birds. There are few sights more beautiful and thrilling than line after line of pelicans skimming the waves. But today the pelicans, the frigates, the sandpipers and even the seagulls have nearly disappeared. Which means the fish, the insects and the iguanas are also going away. It breaks my heart.
george eliot (annapolis, md)
Now the foul mouthed macho men and women of the TV show "Ice Road Truckers" will have even more of their commentary "bleeped."
Phyliss Dalmatian (Wichita, Kansas)
“ Chill, Baby, Chill “. What say you, Former half-term Governor PALIN ??? Please, enlighten us.
Ed (America)
If the inexorable global warmup is real and predictable, then Alaska has a good reason to start rebuilding its infrastructure to reflect that reality. What's stopping them? Or do they believe it makes more sense to wave their arms and yell STOP! to an entire planet? To cite "tradition" and "custom" as reasons to defy change? Good luck with that. Planet earth will continue to evolve from cold to warm to cold again, from wet to dry to wet again, over time measured in millions not tens of years. Regardless of what Alaskans and Democrats think, the more sensible human beings around the world will react to ever-changing nature, as they always have done.
AzTraveler (Phoenix)
@Ed Good points but your forgot the mention the always right republicans.
DC Reade (traveling)
@Ed You must have skipped over the fifth paragraph of the article you're commenting on. Or maybe you had a lapse of memory. I'll refresh your recall: "Alaska is the fastest-warming state in America, heating up along with the rest of the Arctic at twice the global average rate, according to the Fourth National Climate Assessment. Springtime temperatures are averaging 2 to 5 degrees higher now than 50 years ago, and record highs were set across the state in March...." That's a trend, not a one-time exception. If you need more evidence, consider the 2017 wildfires in Greenland https://www.popsci.com/greenland-on-fire#page-3 Also, the loss of Arctic Sea ice, which leads to even more and faster heat absorption as more expanses of open sea are exposed http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/ It needs to be noted that surface expanse of ice is not the only data of importance; the thickness of the remaining ice has also declined precipitously, as have the land ice sheets https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/ice-sheets/ So the time expanse of global warming IS in the tens of years, not "millions of years." This is not theoretical speculation, it's proven fact. It's also such a recent, widespread, drastic change in the polar regions that simply badgering Alaska residents to "suck it up" is a hand-wave that's both ignorant and cruel.
Robin (Maine)
@Ed Under Obama, via the Dept of the Interior, a lot of work was being done to help Alaskans in the villages and towns that will be (and are) being affects the most quickly to figure out ways to deal with the changes. This work included preparations, when necessary, to move. But, of course, this entire program (and the funding) has been dismantled under the current administration. So please, first do your research before saying Alaskans are just wishing for the climate to stop changing. It is not an easy or inexpensive process to shore up a community -- or have the whole place move. Here is one article about the well known whistleblower: https://climatecrocks.com/2017/07/19/scientist-blows-whistle-breaks-silence-on-trumpputingop-war-on-science/ Here is another one about what one village is attempting to do (and, oh btw, the costs are enormous): https://www.npr.org/2017/01/10/509176361/alaskan-village-citing-climate-change-seeks-disaster-relief-in-order-to-relocate
Socrates (Downtown Verona. NJ)
Keep on voting for Gas Oil Pollution and stepping on the accelerator of manmade global warming, Alaskans, and see where it gets you. 2016 election results Donald Trump (GOP) 52.9% Hillary Clinton (Dem) 37.7% Murkowski - GOP 44.4% Joe Miller - Libertarian 29.2% Margaret Stock - Independent 13.2% Ray Metcalfe - Democratic 11.6% Intelligent voters would wake up and support sun, wind, geothermal, biomass, tidal and alternative energy solutions to this climate catastrophe. Wake up, Alaska. The bell tolls for thee and all of us.
Arvay (Fairbanks, Alaska)
@Socrates Not all of us have voted for them...
rixax (Toronto)
@Arvay Yes and thank you. But Socrates is not talking about you specifically.
Janice Badger Nelson (Park City, UT from Boston)
@Socrates That maybe true but what was Hillary going to do about this. Especially with a republican controlled Congress? The democrats are equally implicit.
Enemy of Crime (California)
"Drill, baby, drill" has been the steady mantra of the Republicans who dominate state politics. The state's solitary congressman and its GOP governor are stooges for the fossil fuels industry. Individual Alaskans collect thousands of dollars every year from a (small) portion of the oil industry's profits, and shove the money in their pockets and purses without a qualm. As I recall, parts of the Iditarod sled-dog race had to be shifted last time it was run -- there just wasn't enough snow on the ground everywhere. The Trump administration, which a majority of Alaskan voters chose to vote for, opened up the Alaska National Wildlife Refuge to oil prospectors and drillers. Global warming couldn't mess up the climate and lifestyle of an American state that has done more on its own to merit the misfortune. Despite that, it's sad to read this article.
Laurence Bachmann (New York)
@Enemy of Crime Well said. Life isn't always unfair.
AK_Climate_Scientist (Anchorage, AK)
@Enemy of Crime The AK permanent fund dividend has only been greater than $2k twice since it started in 1982. The cost of living in AK is astronomical. Health care, for example, is more expensive than anywhere else in the US. That permanent fund dividend doesn't last long in our pockets and purses.
Amanda (Alaska)
@Enemy of Crime What a lofty perch you look down on us from, painting every Alaskan with a broad and scathing brush. 51% of Alaskan voters voted Trump, which is indeed a majority as you say, although a scant one. Not so far off the national 46%, in fact, so perhaps we should condescend to the entire United States as a single block that's getting what they deserve, you included. You've left out of your indictment of Alaskans as money-grubbing oil lackeys the fact that through the permanent fund dividend program alone, over 25,000 Alaskans donate a collective $3 million annually to charitable causes. Yes, it's a red state that clearly needs to do more to combat climate change, as do many others. But distancing yourself from the problem and sneering at the general public is hardly a productive step toward change. You can go ahead and pat yourself on the back in smug superiority, but don't forget we're all in this together. Perhaps being constructive instead of insulting would effect real change faster.
Josh (Anchorage, AK)
Like what is said in the article, everyone is astounded at how obvious the change has been year-to-year. Earlier break-up season, longer freeze-thaw cycles in mid-winter (meaning more treacherous driving), and the impact on our ice roads. Being here almost a decade now, even I have seen significant changes. It's been bizarre to see things like having to ship in snow from interior for our downtown celebration for the kickoff of the Iditarod. In February. This past March has also been wild with mid-40's. I stopped wearing a jacket 3 weeks ago. And now, I'm getting my winter tires changed out nearly a month early because it's clear we shouldn't expect much more winter weather until this late October-November, like last year...